Deepening Deluge of Real Estate Resources

We still recommend going with a real estate professional when it comes time to buy or sell a home, but if you're just probing the market or curious about the value of your home or others in your neighborhood, you've got an increasing number of online resources at your disposal. Just bear in mind that none of these have the complete information available from your local Multiple Listing Service, which your real estate professional can tap into for you.

For comparison, we checked listings in the popular West Olympia zip code of 98502. The local MLS shows 432 current home listings.

Roost (www.roost.com) show 376 listings in the same area; Trulia (www.trulia.com) lists 322 homes; Zillow (www.zillow.com) lists 434 homes -- which sounds impressive until you realize that their search criteria somehow included homes as far away as Shelton, WA; and Redfin (www.redfin.com) reports more than 500 results in a search for homes in the 98502 zip code. We're still puzzling over that number.

Obviously, you need to take these numbers with a grain of salt. As you do with home value estimates from Zillow or Eppraisal (www.eppraisal.com), which can vary by many thousands of dollars. So we'll stick with our advice to use these resources for rough research, then contact a real estate professional when it's time to proceed with a purchase or sale.

Home Prices Drop, Along With Consumer Confidence

The Conference Board's consumer confidence index, released Tuesday, fell to 50.4 this month, the lowest reading since February 1992 and half what it was a year ago. The index dropped more steeply than expected from 58.1 in May. The consensus estimate of economists surveyed by Thomson/IFR was for a more modest decline to 56.5 for June.

Patrick Newport, an economist at Global Insight, expects the Case-Shiller index to fall another 20 percent to 30 percent. Prices should halt their descent sometime next year, he said.

"The numbers are going to get worse because inventory levels continue to be at record highs or near record highs," Newport said.

Much of the pricing pressure comes from foreclosures and so-called short sales, in which a lender accepts an offer less than the value of the mortgage. These distressed sales can be discounted by 20 percent to 50 percent, forcing home sellers to slash their listing prices to compete.

An industry group Tuesday said U.S. consumer confidence plummeted more sharply than expected in June to it lowest level in more than 16 years. The Conference Board's reading of consumers' expectations hit an all-time low. (Associated Press)

Washington State Home Sales Down

Housing sales cropped across Washington State during the first quarter of 2008, according to a newly released report from the Washington Center for Real Estate Research at Washington State University.

Thurston County saw a decline in existing home sales of 22.8 percent over one year ago, and a 54.7 percent drop in building permits.

Statewide, existing home sales fell 29.7 percent, and building permits were down 46.7 percent.

Thurston County homes fared better in holding their value, with a median resale price of $257,700 (up 1.1 percent from 2007) compared to the statewide median of $293,600 (down 2.4 percent from 2007).

Buyer's Market?

For the fourth consecutive month, Thurston County home sales fell more than 20 percent on a year-over-year basis in March, the Northwest Multiple Listing Service reported today.

And while Thurston County homes prices largely have remained steady compared to other Western Washington counties, they rose a scant .01 percent in March from the same period last year, the data show.

In March, combined sales of single-family residences and condominiums fell 20.9 percent to 314 units from 397 units last March. Combined median prices increased .01 percent to $249,925 from $249,900, the listing service reported.

Total closed sales in March fell to 314, down from 397 for Thurston County in March 2007. New listings in March were also down, to 626 from 720 a year ago.

Now Is A Great Time To Buy A Home

If you’re ready to buy a home and can afford it, now is a great time to buy. Mortgage interest rates remain very low. In many areas, buyers have a lot of inventory from which to choose and long-term homeownership continues to be one of the best ways for the typical American to build wealth.

Don’t let all of the negative media attention about the “mortgage meltdown” keep you from pursuing your homeownership dream. Mortgage industry woes are primarily limited to subprime loans and other types of creative and comparatively risky financing products. While the mortgage industry stalled briefly to reconsider its more exotic loans, there is plenty of conventional financing available for qualified homebuyers. Interest rates remain at historically low levels – still less than 7% for the typical, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

Indeed, the market has changed. It’s gone from a frenzied seller’s market to calmer buyer’s market. In fact, buyers haven’t seen a market this strong in years. When the national median home price dropped for the first time on record, the decline made huge albeit misleading headlines. For starters, there is no such thing as a national real estate market. All real estate markets are local and driven by local factors that include the local economy, housing supply and demand factors and other attributes like geography.

The slight decline followed years of unprecedented steep home price appreciation and the reality is that only a handful of markets experienced price declines. Corrections in markets that experienced exorbitant home price appreciation were expected and signal good news for buyers. According to 2007 third-quarter National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) statistics, the vast majority of the nation’s metropolitan areas showed rising or stable home prices with most areas experiencing modest gains.

Right now there are many homes from which to choose and in most areas buyers don’t have to deal with the harried and hurried competition of multiple bids. The changing market has also changed the inventory landscape to include fewer speculative sellers and a larger share of serious and motivated sellers.

Prospective homebuyers have some time to shop inventory and thoroughly compare home types and prices, amenities, neighborhoods, commutes and other important real estate-related features. And buyers have stronger price negotiation power as sellers compete for their attention by offering concessions or other incentives.

While all real estate markets have ups and downs, Americans continue to consistently build wealth through homeownership. According to the NAR:

· One average, the value of a home doubles every 10 years. During the past three decades, home values have increased an average of 6.6% per year.

· The average homeowner today has 36 times the wealth of the average renter. Homeowners are essentially paying themselves when they pay their mortgages and this means they’re building equity. Homeowners also benefit from some real estate-related tax write-offs like mortgage interest.

· Sixty percent of the average homeowner’s wealth is their home’s equity. For homeowners who’re in their homes for the long-term, home equity typically is their single largest source of wealth.

Because every market is different, it’s a good idea for potential homebuyers to contact a local real estate specialist to learn more about what’s happening in his or her community and real estate market. The bottom line in real estate doesn’t change – if you’re ready to buy and can afford to make a long-term homeownership commitment, it’s always a good time to buy!

Prudential Olympia, REALTORS is an independently owned and operated member of Prudential Real Estate Affiliates, Inc., a Prudential Financial company. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Cheering Gloomy Buyers

Feeling iffy about spending money on a new home in today's market? Some Tacoma firms are looking to lift you out of your spending funk.

The News Tribune reports that the Master Builders Association of Pierce County and the Washington Realtors are rolling out ad campaigns touting the upside of buying in the Tacoma area. And buying now, not later.

Pierce County's median home price in August climbed 4.4 percent compared with the same month in 2006, though the county had 2,702 new-construction houses and condos listed for sale compared with 1,947 the same month in 2006, according to the Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

Read the story.

Relief for Strained Mortgage Holders?

President Bush today announced modest steps to deal with an alarming rise in mortgage defaults that have contributed to turbulent financial markets in recent weeks.

One of the Bush proposals, which FHA officials said would take effect immediately, would allow an estimated 60,000 homeowners who have fallen behind on payments because their mortgages have reset, to refinance with FHA-insured loans. FHA does not now insure refinanced loans from borrowers who are currently delinquent.

"This means that many families who are struggling now will be able to refinance their loans, meet their monthly payments and keep their homes," Bush said.

Bush also said he would support legislation currently pending in Congress to temporarily change tax law to let homeowners avoid paying taxes on forgiven debt in loans being restructured by financial institutions.

Read the full transcript of Bush's remarks.